Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official awards predictions for the upcoming Oscars and Emmys ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis; Awards Circuit Column, a weekly analysis dissecting the trends and contenders by television editor Michael Schneider (for Emmys) and Davis (for Oscars); Awards Circuit Podcast, a weekly interview series with talent and an expert roundtable discussion; and Awards Circuit Video analyzes various categories and contenders by Variety's leading awards pundits. Variety's unmatched coverage gives its readership unbeatable exposure in print and online, as well as provide inside reports on all the contenders in this year's awards season races.
To see all the latest predictions, of all the categories, in one place, visit
THE EMMYS COLLECTIVE
Visit each category, per the individual awards show from
THE EMMYS HUB
To see old predictions and commentary, click the EMMY PREDICTIONS ARCHIVES
For film awards predictions go to
THE OSCARS HUB
UPDATED: June 22, 2022
2022 EMMYS Forecast:
Outstanding Documentary or Nonfiction Special
Prize prediction commentary:
Director Amy Pohler shows the rise of comedy icon Lucille Ball and her relationship with husband and musician Desi Arnaz that leads them to the groundbreaking television sitcom. With the support of Amazon Prime Video and the discontinuation of the “Being the Ricardos” feature, the TV Academy’s classic Hollywood pocket could go all out for “Lucy and Desi”, a look of love and fame.
“George Carlin’s American Dream,” a two-part documentary about the famous comedian, provides the world with an incredible reminder of the power of laughter and love, told through the passion of directors Jude Apato and Michael Bonfiglio. Dropping to HBO at the end of the qualification period, the bias of innovation can help it snatch a name.
Disney + Grammy and music sensation Olivia Rodrigo has taken to her platform with “Olivia Rodrigo: Driving Home 2 U” as she recounts the memories of writing and recording her first album in Los Angeles. Directed by Stacey Lee, it could serve as a popular choice for the academy, which usually doesn’t go for such docs, but can end up with an amazing entry.
After the attacks on women’s rights in America and the trials of Johnny Depp and Amber Hard, the true story of Evan Rachel Wood and her activism and her resurrection from domestic violence are part of the most “moment”. “Phoenix Rising” is a good place for the nation to support HBO and recognize its position.
A portrait of singer-songwriter Sheryl Crowe’s Showtime, and an enthusiastic, easy part of digesting the legacy she left behind in music. Directed by Amy Scott, with interviews with big names like Brandy Carlyle and Laura Darn, latecomers to the Amy race can hit the right note to voters.
Directed by Michael John Warren, replicating many of the same successful chords that hit last year’s Emmy-winning “Hamilton”, the Tony-winning original Broadway cast reunites for the HBO special. “Spring Awakening: The People You Know.” Along with Jonathan Graf, Leah Mitchell and others, it became a beautiful love letter to Broadway and an influential show that resonated decades later.
When a documentary captures a cultural zeitgeist, an Amy can often knock. This could be the case with the Netflix film “The Tinder Swindler” directed by Felicity Morris. By highlighting people’s vulnerabilities in dating apps and weak laws around certain types of fraud, true-crime pictures can keep their feet running.
Director Sam Jones, who also directed an episode of the second season of “Ted Lasso”, follows skateboarder Tony Hawk, looking at his life, career and passion for his sport through “Tony Hawk: Until Wheels Fall Off”. HBO’s support for this series has put it in a tough position for voter recognition if it can stand out from other competitors.
Oscar and Emmy winner Ron Howard describes Carlotta Andres’ mission to provide healthy food to victims of natural disasters through National Geographic’s “We Feed People.” An eye-opening message for mankind’s love of cuisine, and the need to change the way we communicate to help our fellow men and women, can satisfy the hunger of many TV academy members.
Read more: Of diversity Reward Circuit Emmys Prediction Hub.
Voting in the nomination round runs from June 16 to June 27. The official nominations for the 74th Emmy Awards will be announced on Tuesday, July 12.
The list of programs and potential nominees listed below is incomplete and subject to change. The full television awards season calendar is linked here.
Winner of the 2021 division: “Kingdom of Boys” (Apple TV +)
All prize contestants and rankings:
2022 Primetime Emmy Award Prediction
2022 Creative Arts Amis Prediction
About the Primetime Emmy Awards (Emmy)
The Primetime Emmy Awards, Better known as Amy, is awarded by the Academy of Television Arts and Sciences (ATAS). Since 1949, the awards have recognized recognition for excellence in American primetime television programming. These are divided into three categories – Primetime Emmy Awards, Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards (honoring artists’ achievements), and Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards (recognizing significant engineering and technological contributions). The general eligibility period is from June 1 to May 31 of any given year. The Television Academy consists of more than 25,000 members, representing 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors and various artisans and executives.
- The 74th Emmy Awards will be held on Monday, September 12, and will air on NBC