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2023 Oscar Best Documentary Feature Predictions

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diversity The Awards Circuit section is home to all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: Official predictions for upcoming oscar, The Emmys, The Grammys And Tony Awards ceremony, curated by diversity Senior Awards Editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages do not reflect Davis’ assessment of the current state of the race and personal preferences for any film or act. As with any body or organization that votes, each individual category is fluid and subject to change. Predictions are updated every Thursday.

latest version: January 12, 2023

2023 Oscar Predictions: Best Documentary Feature

Sony Pictures Classics

Category Commentary: Oscar-nominated filmmaker Darren Aronofsky (“Black Swan”) could make history at this year’s Academy Awards.

With two films in the awards conversation as a producer — the narrative drama “The Whale” and the doc feature “The Territory” — if nominated for both best picture and documentary feature, he would be the first person nominated for both categories in the same category. year

“The Whale” is among 10 films nominated by PGA Awards nominees, and things look good for the film’s prospects. In terms of “The Territory,” it did very well with its predecessors, winning Cinema I Honors and being nominated by the PGA and Critics’ Choice Documentary Awards.

National Geographic Films dominates the 2023 documentary motion picture nominees for the upcoming 34th Producers Guild Awards. The studio landed three of the seven spots, including Sara Dosa’s “Fire of Love,” Matthew Heineman’s “Retrograde” and Alex Pritz’s “The Territory.”

Among the movies that seem to have strong support in the genre are HBO’s “All That Breathes,” the likely frontrunner at the moment, Sony Pictures Classic’s “Hallelujah: Leonard Cohen, a Journey, a Song,” which has passion in the genre, both internationally and Sun. In the Francisco Bay area.

Neon’s “All the Beauty and the Bloodshed” leads the critics’ awards, but as we’ve seen in the past, they tend to snub presumed frontrunners like “Zane,” “Apollo 11” and even this year’s “Good Night,” which failed to make the Oppy’s shortlist. .

It is worth noting that “Munez Daydream” is the only doc to be shortlisted outside of the doc category, and it could be included in the Best Sound and Editing categories at the BAFTAs and the Oscars.

Some of the surprises on the Oscar shortlist include “Children of the Mist” and “Hidden Letters”, clearly supporting, while “Bad Axe” and “Navalny” have a rising moment that could advance a film or two in the queue.

AMPAS nomination voting is open and closes Tuesday, January 17 at 5 pm PT.

Check out the latest movie predictions in one place, across all 23 categories of diversity Oscar Collective. To see ranked predictions for each individual category, see of diversity Oscar Hub.

see 2022-2023 Awards Season Calendar For all key dates and timelines.

All award contenders and rankings:

Navalny, Alexei Navalny, 2022. © Fathom Events / Courtesy Everett Collection
Courtesy Everett Collection

And the predicted nominees are:
rank film Director and Producer distributor
1 “All That Breathes” Shaunak Sen (Director & Producer), Teddy Leifer, Aman Mann (Producer) HBO Documentary Film / Sideshow
Against the bleak backdrop of Delhi’s doom and escalating violence, two brothers sacrifice their lives to save a casualty of troubled times: the bird known as the Black Kite.
2 “descendant” Margaret Brown (Director, Producer), Essie Chambers, Kyle Martin (Producer) Netflix
Clotilde follows the survivors of the last ship that enslaved Africans to the United States, as they retrace their stories.
3 “Hallelujah: Leonard Cohen, A Journey, A Song” Daniel Geller, Diana Goldfine (Director, Producer) Sony Pictures Classics
This feature-length documentary explores the life of singer-songwriter Leonard Cohen as seen through the prism of his internationally famous hymn, Hallelujah.
4 “Navalny” Daniel Rohr (Director), Diane Baker, Shane Boris, Melanie Miller, Odessa Ray (Producer) CNN/Warner Bros
Follows a man who survives an assassination attempt by poisoning him with a lethal nerve agent in August 2020. During her month-long recovery she makes a shocking discovery about her life’s attempt and decides to return home
5 “Bad Axe” David Sieve (Director, Producer), Jude Harris, Diane-Moye Kuhn, Catarina Vasquez (Producer) IFC Films
A real-time portrait in 2020 of an Asian-American family in Trump’s rural America fighting to keep their restaurant and the American dream alive in the face of an epidemic, neo-Nazis and generational scars from the Killing Fields.
next line
6 “All Beauty and Bleeding” Laura Poitras (Director & Producer), Howard Gertler, Nan Goldin, Yoni Golizov, John S. Lyons (Producer) the neon
It follows the life of artist Nan Goldin and the fall of the Sackler family, a pharmaceutical dynasty largely responsible for the opioid epidemic’s unimaginable death toll.
7 “Reverse” Matthew Heineman (Director, Producer), Caitlin McNally (Producer) National Geographic Films
Tells the story of the final months of the 20-year war in Afghanistan through the close relationship between American Green Berets and the Afghan officers who train them.
8 “Fire of Love” Sara Dosa (Director, Producer), Shane Boris, Ina Fichman (Producer) National Geographic Documentary Film/Neon
Intrepid scientists and lovers Katya and Maurice Croft die in a volcanic eruption that brings them together: uncovering the secrets of the volcano that holds the most explosive image ever recorded.
9 “Munez Daydreams” Brett Morgen (Director, Producer) the neon
A cinematic odyssey exploring the creative and musical journey of David Bowie. From visionary filmmaker Brett Morgen, and licensed by the Bowie Estate.
10 “Area” Alex Pritz (Director, Producer), Darren Aronofsky, Sigrid Dyckzer, Lizzy Gillette, Will N. Miller, Gabriel Uchida National Geographic
When a network of Brazilian farmers takes over a protected area in the Amazon rainforest, a young indigenous leader and his mentor must fight to protect the land and defend an uncontacted group living deep in the forest.
Other top-tier competitors
11 “Last Flight Home” Ondi Timoner (Director), David Turner (Producer) MTV Documentary Films
12 “A House Made of Splinters” Simon Lehring Willmont (Director), Monika Hellström (Producer) Madman Entertainment
13 “The Janes” Tia Lessin (Director), Emma Pildes (Producer & Director), Daniel Arcana, Jessica Levine (Producer) HBO Documentary Films
14 “The Hidden Letter” Violet Du Feng (Director, Producer), Mate Cheng Moonthe Kas, Su Kim, Jin Hsien (Producer) Cargo film and release
15 “Child of the Fog” Ha Le Dim (Director), Swan Dubas, Phuong Thao Tran (Producer) CAT and docs

2023 Academy Awards Predictions

Best picture Director actor Actress Supporting Actor | Supporting actress Original screenplay Adapted screenplay Animated features Production Design | Cinematography Costume Design | Film editing Makeup and hairstyling Sound | Visual effects Original score Original song Documentary feature International features Animated short Documentary Summary Live action short

The 95th Oscars ceremony will be held at the Dolby Theater and will be broadcast live on ABC on Sunday, March 12, 2023.

2022 category winners: “Summer of Soul” (Onyx/Searchlight Pictures)

related to diversity Prize Circuit:

of diversity Unrivaled coverage gives its readers unbeatable exposure in print and online and provides insider reports on all the contenders in this year’s awards season race. In addition to predictions, the section includes — the Awards Circuit column, a weekly analysis breaking down race trends and competitors; The Awards Circuit Podcast, a weekly series featuring interviews with top contestants in the awards competition and an expert roundtable discussion with Variety’s top editors and columnists; Award Circuit Prediction video series, a deep dive into specific categories, led by leading pundits.

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