2023 Oscar Best Original Screenplay Predictions

rank film author(s) distributor 1 “Descendants of Inisharin” Martin McDonagh Searchlight image When two lifelong friends suddenly end their relationship, there are disturbing consequences for both of them. 2 “his” Todd Field Focus feature Set in the international world of classical music, the film centers on Lydia Tarr. Widely regarded as one of the greatest living composer/conductors and the first female principal conductor of a major German orchestra. 3 “everywhere everything at once” Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert A24 An elderly Chinese immigrant is plunged into a mad adventure, where he alone can save the world by exploring other universes with the life he can lead. 4 “The Fablemans” Tony Kushner, Steven Spielberg Universal Pictures A semi-autobiography based on Spielberg’s own childhood, from the ages of seven to eighteen, growing up in post-war Arizona. 5 “Triangle of Sorrows” Ruben Ostlund the neon A cruise for the super-rich sinks, including a fashion model celebrity couple stranded on an island. next line 6 “After the Sun” Charlotte Wells A24 Sophie reflects on the shared joys and personal sadness of a holiday spent with her father twenty years earlier. Real and imagined memories fill the gaps as she tries to reconcile with the father she never knew. 7 “elvis” Baz Luhrmann, Sam Bromell, Craig Pearce, Jeremy Donner Warner Bros. A biopic of Elvis Presley, from his childhood to becoming a rock and movie star in the 1950s, he maintains a complicated relationship with his manager, Colonel Tom Parker. 8 “Babylon” Damien Chazelle Paramount Pictures A deeply personal coming-of-age story about the power of family and a generation’s pursuit of the American Dream. 9 “until” Keith Beauchamp, Chinoni Chukwu, Michael Reilly Releasing by Orion/United Artists A young, gay black man, rejected by his mother and with few options for his future, decides to join the Marines, to succeed in a system that shuns him. 10 “Woman King” Maria Bello, Dana Stevens Tristar picture A historical epic inspired by true events that took place in the kingdom of Dahomey, one of the most powerful kingdoms in Africa in the 18th and 19th centuries. Other top-tier competitors 11 “list” Seth Reiss, Will Tracy Searchlight image 12 “Armageddon Time” James Gray Focus feature 13 “no” Jordan Peele Universal Pictures 13 “inspection” Elegance Bratton A24 14 “rrrr” SS Rajamouli, Vijayendra Prasad Variance Films 15 “Empire of Light” Sam Mendes Searchlight image 17 “off” Lucas Dhont, Angelo Tijsens A24 18 “Decision to Quit” Park Chan-wook, Seo-kyung Jeong the movie 19 “nanny” Nikyatu Jusu Amazon Studios 20 “broker” Hirokazu Kore-eda the neon Also debate 21 “Holy Spider” Ali Abbasi, Afsin Kamran Bahrami Utopia 22 “Cha Cha Real Smooth” Cooper Rife Apple Original Films 23 “Thirteen Lives” William Nicholson, Don McPherson Amazon Studios/MGM 24 “Call Jane” Hayley Schor, Roshan Shetty Roadside attractions 25 “liberation” Bill collage Apple Original Films List of all contestants (unranked-alphabetically) – “A Jazzman’s Blues” Tyler Perry Netflix – “A Love Song” Max Walker-Silverman Bleecker Street – “After the Sun” Charlotte Wells A24 – “Palm Trees and Power Lines” Jamie Dack, Audrey Findlay Momentum Image – “You Won’t Be Alone” Goran Stolevsky Focus feature – “Alice, Darling” Alana Francis Lionsgate – “Am I okay?” Lauren Pomerantz HBO Max – “Amsterdam” David and Russell 20th Century Studio – “Argentina, 1985” Mariano Linas, Santiago Miter Amazon Studios – “Armageddon Time” James Gray Focus feature – “As They Made Us” Mayim Bialik shaking – “Athena” Elias Belkedder, Romain Gavras, Ladz Lee Netflix – “Babylon” Damien Chazelle Paramount Pictures – “God’s Creation” Shane Crowley, Fodhla Cronin O’Reilly A24 – “The Bardo, A False Chronicle of a Handful of Truth” Nicolas Giacobone, Alejandro González Iñárritu Netflix – “Eternal Daughter” Joanna Hogg A24 – “Body Body Body” Sarah DeLappe, Kristen Roupenian A24 – “broker” Hirokazu Kore-eda the neon – “Bros” Billy Eichner, Nicholas Stoller Universal Pictures – “Call Jane” Hayley Schor, Roshan Shetty Roadside attractions – “Causeway” Luke Gobel, Otessa Moshfegh A24/Apple Original Films – “Cha Cha Real Smooth” Cooper Rife Apple Original Films – “off” Lucas Dhont, Angelo Tijsens A24 – “Corsage” Marie Kreutzer IFC Films – “Future Crime” David Cronenberg the neon – “Decision to Quit” Jeong Seo-kyung, Park Chan-wook the movie – “dog” Reed Caroline, Brett Rodriguez Releasing by MGM/United Artists – “don’t worry dear” Katie Silberman, Kerry Van Dyke, Shane Van Dyke Warner Bros – “elvis” Baz Luhrmann, Sam Bromell, Craig Pearce, Jeremy Donner Warner Bros. – “liberation” William D. collage Apple Original Films – “Emily the Criminal” John Patton Ford Roadside attractions/vertical entertainment – “Empire of Light” Sam Mendes Searchlight image – “everywhere everything at once” Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert A24 – “God’s Country” Julian Higgins, Shaye Ogbonna IFC Films – “Good luck to you, Leo Grande.” Katy Brand Searchlight image – “Good Night OP” Ryan White, Helen Kearns Amazon Studios – “Holy Spider” Ali Abbasi, Afsin Kamran Bahrami Utopia – “Honk for Jesus. Save your soul.” Adama Ibo Focus feature – “decoration” Graham Moore, Jonathan McClain Focus feature – “Hurry” Taylor Mattern, Will Fetters Netflix – “I love my father” James Morosini Magnolia photo – “Whitney Houston: I Wanna Dance With Somebody” Anthony McClofty Sky Distribution Sony Pictures – “master” Mariama Diallo Amazon Studios – “The Montana Story” Scott McGee, David Siegel, Mike Spreter Bleecker Street – “nanny” Nikyatu Jusu Amazon Studios – “nitram” to add IFC Films – “no” Jordan Peele Universal Pictures – “a beautiful morning” Mia Hansen-Love Sony Pictures Classics – “Piglet” Carlotta Pereda Magnolia photo – “Raymond and Ray” to add Apple Original Films – “Resurrection” Andrew Semmons IFC Films – “rrrr” Vijayendra Prasad, SS Rajamouli Variance Films – “Saint Omar” Alice Diop, Amrita Davis, Joe Galleron, Mary N’Dia Neon/Super – “See how they run” Mark Chappell A24 – “Strange World” Qui Nguyen Walt Disney Pictures – “his” Todd Field Focus feature – “The Fablemans” Tony Kushner, Steven Spielberg Universal Pictures – “The Greatest Bear Run” Brian Hayes Currie, Peter Farrelly, Pete Jones Apple Original Films – “inspection” Elegance Bratton A24 – “The Lost King” Steve Coogan, Jeff Pope Warner Bros. – “list” Seth Reiss, Will Tracy Searchlight image – “The Northman” Robert Eggers, Szon Focus feature – “Sea Beast” Chris Williams, Neil Benjamin Netflix – “Swimmer” Sally L. Hosseini, Jack Thorne Netflix – “The Intolerable Weight of Enormous Genius” Tom Gormican, Kevin Etten Lionsgate – “Woman King” Maria Bello, Dana Stevens Tristar picture – “Thirteen Lives” William Nicholson, Don McPherson Amazon Studios/MGM – “Ticket to Paradise” Ol’ type, Daniel Peepsky Universal Pictures – “until” Keith Beauchamp, Chinoni Chukwu, Michael Reilly Releasing by Orion/United Artists – “Tori and Lokita” Darden Brothers Janus Films – “Triangle of Sorrows” Ruben Ostlund the neon – “turning red” Domi Shi, Julia Cho, Sarah Streicher Pixar – “Revenge” BJ Novak Focus feature – “x” T West A24